WAF west african resources limited

Ann: WAF Resource, Reserve and 10 year production update 2023, page-9

  1. 12,542 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 8131
    To say the market was unimpressed is an understatement.

    Production of 56k is excellent and bodes well for 2023 guidance of 210-230k (if they can maintain it, they will hit approx. 225k)
    Sales fluctuate every quarter, just how it is. So the June Q will likely see larger sales than production. Not a terrible outcome considering the POG has risen.
    I note WAF did not provide an updated cash position, though unless something unexpected has occurred, WAF should see a solid increase with no $25m tax hit like it saw in the Dec Q.

    Dec Q saw revenue of approx $97m USD. More ounces, lower price.
    Mar Q saw revenue of approx $90.5m USD. Higher price, less ounces.

    I would like to see WAF increase their cash position by approx $20m AUD (but... the timing of capex for 2023 is a little unclear).

    Really pleased with the MV3 resource estimate. 257k ounces (grade of 2.7g/t) which is clearly going to help increase the open pit grades.
    Basically, they are estimating MV3 will provide around 105k in 2024/2025. Considering the deposit is only drilled to 70m depth, I am really hoping they can expand it even further, as the benefits are below....

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180639-309d145886f413eaf56c75838ff71a40.jpg

    As others have mentioned, the benefits are 3 fold. Increased open pit reserves, higher grades and the ability to push back Toega pre-production expenses until 2026. By then, Kiaka will have reached full production.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180627-523e11de5e52067a2c2828c8f284ddd8.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180634-24b656e6f5860966d1359defe2e91b56.jpg
    Of course, the numbers above don't include any extra ounces from Sanbrado U/G, particularly if M5 proves the goods (with the hits below, I struggle to understand how that not be possible, even if it does not match M1. Even just being able to add another 25-35k p.a would be massively profitable.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180642-e82ab575f9324c4425ab82cfc8d01ba4.jpg

    Then you have Sanbrado with basically, 2m ounces of reserves, even after depletion (if you include MV3).
    Plus.... pretty sure M1 has a few more ounces to be converted in the years to come.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180647-80cc5f9725a5c1c2be4f4a87ba2d6ae9.jpg
    It will be interesting to see if the reserve grade of M1 outperforms like 2022.... They state 7g/t, but... got 8.1g/t last year.
    Potentially another 10-20k ounces.

    I cannot help but be a little disappointed about the $10m USD drilling budget.
    I know they are being prudent because Kiaka is the main goal, but...

    Good luck to all holders.
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
(20min delay)
Last
$2.20
Change
0.000(0.00%)
Mkt cap ! $2.507B
Open High Low Value Volume
$2.26 $2.26 $2.20 $9.934M 4.472M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 62873 $2.20
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$2.22 80286 2
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 27/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
WAF (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.