WAF west african resources limited

To say the market was unimpressed is an...

  1. 12,542 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 8131
    To say the market was unimpressed is an understatement.

    Production of 56k is excellent and bodes well for 2023 guidance of 210-230k (if they can maintain it, they will hit approx. 225k)
    Sales fluctuate every quarter, just how it is. So the June Q will likely see larger sales than production. Not a terrible outcome considering the POG has risen.
    I note WAF did not provide an updated cash position, though unless something unexpected has occurred, WAF should see a solid increase with no $25m tax hit like it saw in the Dec Q.

    Dec Q saw revenue of approx $97m USD. More ounces, lower price.
    Mar Q saw revenue of approx $90.5m USD. Higher price, less ounces.

    I would like to see WAF increase their cash position by approx $20m AUD (but... the timing of capex for 2023 is a little unclear).

    Really pleased with the MV3 resource estimate. 257k ounces (grade of 2.7g/t) which is clearly going to help increase the open pit grades.
    Basically, they are estimating MV3 will provide around 105k in 2024/2025. Considering the deposit is only drilled to 70m depth, I am really hoping they can expand it even further, as the benefits are below....

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180639-309d145886f413eaf56c75838ff71a40.jpg

    As others have mentioned, the benefits are 3 fold. Increased open pit reserves, higher grades and the ability to push back Toega pre-production expenses until 2026. By then, Kiaka will have reached full production.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180627-523e11de5e52067a2c2828c8f284ddd8.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180634-24b656e6f5860966d1359defe2e91b56.jpg
    Of course, the numbers above don't include any extra ounces from Sanbrado U/G, particularly if M5 proves the goods (with the hits below, I struggle to understand how that not be possible, even if it does not match M1. Even just being able to add another 25-35k p.a would be massively profitable.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180642-e82ab575f9324c4425ab82cfc8d01ba4.jpg

    Then you have Sanbrado with basically, 2m ounces of reserves, even after depletion (if you include MV3).
    Plus.... pretty sure M1 has a few more ounces to be converted in the years to come.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5180/5180647-80cc5f9725a5c1c2be4f4a87ba2d6ae9.jpg
    It will be interesting to see if the reserve grade of M1 outperforms like 2022.... They state 7g/t, but... got 8.1g/t last year.
    Potentially another 10-20k ounces.

    I cannot help but be a little disappointed about the $10m USD drilling budget.
    I know they are being prudent because Kiaka is the main goal, but...

    Good luck to all holders.
 
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(20min delay)
Last
$2.20
Change
0.000(0.00%)
Mkt cap ! $2.507B
Open High Low Value Volume
$2.26 $2.26 $2.20 $9.934M 4.472M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 62873 $2.20
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$2.22 80286 2
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Last trade - 16.10pm 27/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
WAF (ASX) Chart
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