Do I understand the industry better than most? No. Do I have a right to place a heavy weight on my valuations? No.
Do I have a right to believe that market sentiment was overly pessimistic & focused on short term problems? Do i have a right to believe that the auto cycle was not dead?
On these latter two questions, I suspect the answer is yes.
@MarsC,
Having spent a few years stalking you on this forum (just on this forum, mind, nowhere else), I think you are being a bit modest. I think the answers to all those questions could very well be "yes".
And I'll go so far as to deem - without knowing the exact circumstances nor the companies involved - that it was that you placed some store of value in your valuations of those global auto suppliers which provided the impetus to invest.
.
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