One poster's negative is another's probability... and no, low...

One poster's negative is another's probability... and no, low confidence is not my issue lol. Could I be clearer? Probably not, but I'll try. Fundamentals, like poor mineralogy that guarantees a deposit won;t be economic for example, provides a very high level of confidence a share price will fall. Price targets, especially short term like you guys are debating over weeks, are subjective and determined by the weight of buyers v sellers in often illiquid markets etc, and therefore are never very confident, especially short term. That won;t stop me making calls for the fun of it anyway. The second-best way to test your judgement if you can't short stocks is to make the call public then live or die on the outcome... and rumours of my $22-top death have been greatly exaggerated