AZS 0.00% $3.69 azure minerals limited

@Kamprad7I am voting No in Mid March to the JV.JV SQM and HP are...

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    @Kamprad7

    I am voting No in Mid March to the JV.

    JV SQM and HP are not valuing a few things
    AZSLithium Exploration Value of $510m and
    AZS Nickel Resource and exploration value of$100m for AZS takeover offer.

    pictorially this is shown on the right hand side of figure 1



    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5851/5851293-f39f3a08b2aa2b0a5015fe7b1064a0ea.jpg



    figure 1 JV SQM HP wants ongoing exploration value $510 m ( $1.11/AZS ) and Andover Nickel Copper complex $100 m ($0.22/AZS) not valued



    Why

    09 October 2023 Bell Potter Analyst - Bradley Watson
    Authorisation . David Coates


    " Lithium Mineral Resources have not been estimated and feasibility studies have not beenconducted.
    For valuation purposes we estimate a Notional Development Scenario (NDS),based on our allowances for a potential Resource, and other parameters from comparableWA projects.
    Using the assumptions in our NDS we estimate a 100% Lithium ProjectValue of $6,200m.
    Adjusting for AZS’s 60% ownership, we estimate an AttributableLithium Project Value of $3,720m.
    We apply our early-stage project discount (55%) todetermine a 1) 12-month forward Lithium Project Value of $1,674m.
    To which we add2) Lithium Exploration Value of $510m and
    3) Nickel Resource and exploration value of$100m. ***


    We apply no premium for any potential downstream margins or takeover activity "

    26/10/23 SQM
    bids $3.52 .. Money of mine guess $3.52 23/10... 445,764,383 AZS shares (11/10/2023). AZS valued at $ 1.57 Billion
    19/12/23 JV SQM and HP bids $3.70 on 458,679,575 (30/11/23) AZS valued at $ 1.69 Billion

    talk about anchoring around the Bell Potter number for 12 month Forward Lithium project Value of 1.67 m

    *** Please note
    1) 19/12/23 bid is attempting to anchor price at around $3.68 /AZS
    2) Lithium Exploration value ongoing $510m or $1.11/ AZS for the JV is not valued
    3) Nickel Resource and Exploration valuie of $100m $0.22/AZS for the JV not valued ( AZS was 22 cents during 22 when Lithium was not considered

    Chris Ellison (Min) with 13.6% AZS and average price of AZS of $ 3.63 with yearly shareholder MIN return of 30%/pa will explore minority ownership with an MRE of greater than 240 Mt and around 1.22% Lio2 concentration coming out in qtr 2 24.

    I have participated in the $130 m capital raise in August 23.

    I would like to get the value of the plan AZS had put before me then on page 3 of the 21/8/2023..Announcement just 4 short months ago.

    " The Company intends to use the proceeds from the Offer for the following purposes:
    1. Exploration at Andover:
    • Continue progressing 100,000m lithium drilling program;
    • Activities required to advance towards a maiden lithium Mineral Resource;
    • Drilling for base metals (nickel, copper and cobalt); and
    • Geophysics.

    2. Studies at Andover:
    • Scoping study;
    • Heritage study; and
    • Environmental study.

    3. Corporate, working capital and Offer costs:
    • Corporate overheads;
    • Working capital requirements; and
    • Costs of the Offer, including Joint Lead Manager (defined below) fees and legal costs "





 
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