BTA 0.00% 57.0¢ biota holdings limited

announcement out-investor presentation, page-11

  1. 652 Posts.
    Do you think that they have been snorting at my prognosis ...

    An estimation–use and abuse as you please


    World population 6 740 000 000

    China/India (2 400 000 000) to provide 30 % support = 720 000 000 treatments

    Euro/America’s (1 500 000 000) to provide 70% support = 1 050 000 000 treatments

    SE Asia (1 400 000 000) to provide 30% support = 420 000 000 treatments

    Africa (900 000 000) to provide 10% support = 90 000 000 treatments

    Not withstanding World Health Group’s and other appeals

    Total population that can have sustainable treatment = 2 285 000 000

    Production/Stockpile (possible scenario) available treatment (25% of sustainable treatment) = 571 250 000 treatments

    Relenza component = 35% (my conservative approach considering WHO recommendations) = 199 937 500
    Multiplied by $15/packet (very rough figure) = 2 999 062 500

    Multiplied by 7% royalties = 209 934 375

    Divided by 180 000 000 shares available = 1.166

    Consider greater than 25% availability as a mid term likely; consider greater participation in Asia’s, and particularly Africa. World health participation would be prominent. … Short to mid term forecasts could see sums pop toward 3.50 or if not paranoid; except 100% … 4.50

    Then, hopefully LANI will be effective. … 7.80 ish


    Thoughts that will become fallacies … good health
 
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