Do you think that they have been snorting at my prognosis ...An...

Do you think that they have been snorting at my prognosis ...

An estimation–use and abuse as you please


World population 6 740 000 000

China/India (2 400 000 000) to provide 30 % support = 720 000 000 treatments

Euro/America’s (1 500 000 000) to provide 70% support = 1 050 000 000 treatments

SE Asia (1 400 000 000) to provide 30% support = 420 000 000 treatments

Africa (900 000 000) to provide 10% support = 90 000 000 treatments

Not withstanding World Health Group’s and other appeals

Total population that can have sustainable treatment = 2 285 000 000

Production/Stockpile (possible scenario) available treatment (25% of sustainable treatment) = 571 250 000 treatments

Relenza component = 35% (my conservative approach considering WHO recommendations) = 199 937 500
Multiplied by $15/packet (very rough figure) = 2 999 062 500

Multiplied by 7% royalties = 209 934 375

Divided by 180 000 000 shares available = 1.166

Consider greater than 25% availability as a mid term likely; consider greater participation in Asia’s, and particularly Africa. World health participation would be prominent. … Short to mid term forecasts could see sums pop toward 3.50 or if not paranoid; except 100% … 4.50

Then, hopefully LANI will be effective. … 7.80 ish


Thoughts that will become fallacies … good health