another viewpoint on the cc models

Environment reporter Sarah Clarke is talking here to Matt England from the University of New South Wales.

MATT ENGLAND: Well what it's done is it's analysed the very first consensus projections of climate change that were made in the 1990 IPCC report, for the first report of the IPCC. And there's been 22, 23 years since that report was compiled and it shows that the projections of that report have actually come true.

We've sat back and watched the two decades unfold and warming has progressed at a rate consistent with those projections.

SARAH CLARKE: And there's been criticism in the past of whether or not the IPCC is on track. Is that quashing that criticism?

MATT ENGLAND: Oh absolutely. There are people actually out there trying to say that the IPCC has overstated or overestimated climate change. This report shows very clearly that the projections have occurred.

SARAH CLARKE: So the forecast was of a predicted rise of 0.7 to 1.5 degrees, is that right?

MATT ENGLAND: That's right, and it's by 2030, so we're halfway through this projected period. And the warming to date is consistent with that projection.

And so anybody out there lying that the IPCC projections are overstatements or that the observations haven't kept pace with the projections is completely offline with this. The analysis is very clear that the IPCC projections are coming true.

http://www.abc.net.au/am/content/2012/s3650773.htm