All our costings were based on USD$80 per tonne. At USD$65 per tonne, Mbalam/Nabeba is becoming less attractive, although I do recall seeing costs of around USD$30-35 FOB being written about a year or two ago.
Whilst any supply threat from Simandou will be years off, you want to hope that project falls into a screaming heap before Mbalam/Nabeba is up and running.
And as an FMG holder, I'm not worried, because they are already down the path of diversifying.
ANS Price at posting:
1.7¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held