STU 0.00% 94.0¢ stuart petroleum limited

answer for ex stu investors, page-11

  1. 8,941 Posts.
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    Cant help myself, topped up again at 96.5

    did some calcs this week, STU reported 3.08mbo 2P reserves on 31-10-07

    Peter from StockAnalysis guesstimates STU had ~$8mil debt at 23-01-08.

    STU budget ~300,000 brls production for June HY 2008

    At that rate I reckon STU will have zero debt at the end of March qtr (considering no drilling atm), and 2.75mbo remaining 2P reserves.

    At 96.5cps, that equates to an Enterprise value of $60mil and EV/brl 2P developed reserves = AUD22

    At sp $1.15 EV/brl = AUD26

    At sp $1.30 EV/brl = AUD30

    Bazzard doesnt seem to figure into the equation atm unless the market is pre writing off the $20mil drilling cost from STU's balance sheet without adding anything in for the risked expltn value.

    Bazzard will cost STU $20million or 30cps

    Bazzard risked is 85cps and unrisked $5.60/sh

    despite looking cheap, I remain confident I can slowly accumulate this one under $1.00 for the next coupla months
 
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