thanks Guys. at an NPAT of $400 (and EBIT of circa $600m!), what PE would you place of a 20+ year mine life. Even after dilution (assume $2b is required which is very conservative - 50% shares at $3, 50% debt - then that would be circa 500m shares on issue.
A PE of 10 would value the co at $4b or $8 a share.
Now these are very conservative assumptions, as I think: (1) the infrastructure will not cost $2b (this even assumes our own railway) (2) a placement will happen north of $3 (3) more likely to be more debt than equity (4) a JV partner may fund a portion for a guaranteed offtake (5) we may finally get 3rd party rail access, at which time the capital cost will be way lower (6) PE would nearly certainly be > 10.
And that is just from Marallana. 25 other tenements to go, with an experienced and FOCUSED team.
Patience will pay here people - no usual to find a "junior" at 16c / tonne about to upgrade the resource big time imo based on the quarterly and on the verge of the next major move.
The market is missing the point here imo, I dont think we are.
BRM Price at posting:
$1.98 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held