I agree re golf, but most team games are played on a more or less level playing field and the overall quality of each team is easier to assess than the vagaries of individual performance. So generally team matches are more predictable.
However, ignoring team merit, day/night cricket gives a clear (no pun intended) advantage to the team batting in daylight, so the match might be decided by the toss. If you can bet after the toss it may be a better option.
Your money, your choice. :))
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