FML 15.2% 14.0¢ focus minerals ltd

morning all, hi recyug,I think we can get to 500 oz with this...

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    morning all, hi recyug,

    I think we can get to 500 oz with this amount of cash -

    Barrick will want out next year - there will be only one logical buyer - us.

    From what I hear Granny will be cheap.

    The mill apparently is 4m tons not 3m tons (from fitnfam) -

    So if we do Barnicoat for 2 m tons and Granny for 4 - that is 6m tons - say at 2 grams

    that gives us over 387,000 ounces from Laverton.

    3 mile will get to 2 million tons at a guess stand alone
    that's another 129,000

    So we are up to - 516,000 ounces

    Add in a bit more by buying greenfields and even just using it for crushing and we are way over 500k oz.

    Take a bit off for stuffups and unforeseen shutdowns and we are probably reasonably comfortable at 500k.

    Budget

    Baricoat - $65m
    3 Mile - $45 m

    Granny ? maybe $20 or $30 (every time I say $50, I get howled down - people tell me it will be cheap).
    Greenfields - bugger all.

    So far - say $130 million.

    Dean - $50 million

    that's $180 million with $47.5 million in cash

    a couple of small asset purchases - my guess is less than $10m and bob's the uncle.

    And for pantry

    the figures I have heard indicate that when we can get 3 mile etc. to run on 2 million tons at 2 grams (or better) - yes our costs will drop to somewhere between $800 and $900.

    So - the maths actually work quite well.

    This deal comes down to philosophy -- that dreadful thing that no bugger wanted to discuss in the past - and now everyone wants to talk about it ::)

    I think it is hilarious.

    have a great day all

    Pinto
 
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