ARI 0.00% 2.2¢ a.c.n. 004 410 833 limited

Arrium's 4 year forecast

  1. 169 Posts.
    Over the last 4 weeks Iron Ore Spot has averaged = $US95 and AUDUSD = 0.93

    I put these numbers into my model. Assumes no dividends are paid.

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
    0     Accounting  
    1   DA EPS Accounting P/E
    2 FY15 -359 0.10 8.1
    3 FY16 -361 0.12 7.0
    4 FY17 -359 0.13 6.4
    5 FY18 -358 0.14 5.8
    6        
    7   Capex
    Stay In Business
    $8/t stripping
    CASH EPS (EBITDA - capex- interest- tax) Cash P/E
    8 FY15 -185 0.25 3.3
    9 FY16 -186 0.28 3.0
    10 FY17 -185 0.29 2.9
    11 FY18 -184 0.30 2.8

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0   Debt Gearing EBITDA Interest Cover Leverage Ratio EV / EBIT
    1 FY15 -1,521 28% 6.9 2.4 9.7
    2 FY16 -1,182 24% 8.5 1.8 8.0
    3 FY17 -828 18% 11.2 1.3 6.8
    4 FY18 -459 11% 16.7 0.7 5.5
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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