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Hi Ozzytim---Centennial Coal SUMMARYCEY was one of the standout...

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    Hi Ozzytim---Centennial Coal SUMMARY

    CEY was one of the standout small companies of 2001 with performance driven
    by growing profitability following several years of low cost acquisition
    based production growth. Share price reached a record $2.50 earlier this
    year, a level which still only reflected a modest marketcap of $230m and a
    P/CF multiple of 6x. Recent price weakness appears to be a result of a
    sliding export thermal coal prices and a rising A$. We note CEY is well
    protected with a strong domestic focus accounting for over half the group's
    tonnages, a FY03 A$ locked in @ 0.526 and high margin export product. Once
    again recognition of earnings forecasts and realisation of the final
    dividend should see renewed market interest. CEY is close to being debt
    free, generating strong profits and free cashflow and can fund incremental
    growth from the existing balance sheet. We maintain our buy outperform
    recommendation with a 12 month price target of between $2.5 to $3ps.
 
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