FAR 2.91% 50.0¢ far limited

Either the chances of Shell exercising their option is good...

  1. 2,070 Posts.
    Either the chances of Shell exercising their option is good (therefore much of the success factored into the share price) - target 20c

    or

    The chances of shell exercising are not so good, (therefore only a small amount of success factored into the price) - target 30c-40c.

    So which is it? This is the law of risk and return. If hotcopper is representative of "the market" then I would say scenario one as many on here say the shell decision is just about a definite.

    Thoughts anyone?
 
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