"Thus the "backer" and the negotiations about the deal remains...

"Thus the "backer" and the negotiations about the deal remains the only hurdle to be overcome in my opinion. "

Mango,

I agree and the only reason I am in is for this to come to fruition.

The trouble is this "only hurdle" is a very large one indeed as you are well aware, especially with the worlds economy on the brink of recession, if not already in one.

I still rate survival as 50/50 but if they survive I expect 10 times my initial risk.

This is the key to success with trading.Keep the numbers in your favour and it is difficult to lose.