Keep in mind also that as Dave has said - it is still a 50% Chance of Success. Nothing that has happened over the past year has changed that otherwise as Dave also said there would have had to have been an announcement changing that 50% chance of success. What keeps me invested is that I reckon Dave is pretty cautious and if anything would under promise and over deliver. Therefore IMO I think this is better than a 50% chance of success. But - as always - DYOR
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