LTR 3.23% $1.28 liontown resources limited

After watching Tim’spresentation today I have put down a few...

  1. 781 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 925

    After watching Tim’spresentation today I have put down a few thoughts about some of the points he made. BTW @VMPhas been saying similar things for months, however


    A simple Google search asking about average industry PE ratios gave methe following


    Q: What is the average PE ratio for mining companies in Australia?


    The industry is trading at a PE ratio of
    11.3x whichis lower than its 3-year average PE of 13.7x.

    Tim Goyder today reiterated that Kathleen Valley will mine between 600to 650 thousand tonnes starting mid 2024 – the current price is $4000 per tonne(His words not mine). This gives a minimum of $2.4 billion as Tim putsit – free cash flow.

    Based on the ratio quoted above of 11.3 LTR’s share price if itdelivers "just" the industry PE should be

    Earnings of $2.4 billion x 11.3 PE = Market Cap of $27.12 billion


    $27.12 billion divided by Shares on issue of 2,200,480,460= A Share Price of $12.33

    Tim was very “polite” about Albermarle's offer but clearly, their paltry$2.50 is so far off the pace it's ridiculous. Tim pointed out they could recoup their money from two years of mining at Kathleen Valley. That ain't gonna cut it. However, I think based on the way he spoke about Albermarle that there is still a lot to play out in that space. They may well return.

    DYOR not financial advice.

    Clearly, the good ship Liontown has only justleft the dock.


 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add LTR (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
$1.28
Change
0.040(3.23%)
Mkt cap ! $3.103B
Open High Low Value Volume
$1.25 $1.28 $1.24 $9.465M 7.513M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 91644 $1.28
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$1.28 108705 7
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 07/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
Last
$1.28
  Change
0.040 ( 2.47 %)
Open High Low Volume
$1.25 $1.28 $1.24 2198902
Last updated 15.59pm 07/05/2024 ?
LTR (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.