LTR 1.50% 98.5¢ liontown resources limited

ASX Today, page-32523

  1. vmp
    13,162 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 8915
    Thanks for your post @anatol

    JL mentioned there’s only one greenbushes as he took swipe at other producers mediocre grades. Mt marion 4% and others sub sc6. Fortunately even at lower grades they still make money
    We’ve discussed at length the current producers grades and profitability. We may not know much as Joe L but what he said only shed light on our commentary on hc - for example we knew and highlighted albemarle has very low margin Compared to pls and AKE, we said theee must be something wrong in albemarle’s business, and Joe Lowry said why, they have crappy contracts. That means they failed to capitalise on the the opportunity. A bad contract imo is also the reason PLS’s realised prices were about $1k less than AKE.
    Even though I agree with most you mentioned, whether they’d like it or not js another question but PLS for me is the most viable player to take out Ltr as I’ve mentioned yesterday - they’ve got financial muscle, mining experience they can leverage (it seems they’re better than MIN with 4% at mt marion and Wodgina su sc6), and expand more quickly They instantly become another level of behemoth with potential synergies too as they pursue midstream ambitions and a market penetration outside China. They don’t even have to incur debt to acquire Ltr with some cash and mainly scrip bid.
    even though pls already has a large resource, the quality is not as good as Ltr. And the KV WOF operation will give them wider expertise.
    Most directors tim had were in retirement mode, even Craig Williams wanted to retire - following the departure of DR, AC, and SC. I won’t say more but these had implications to what have been the future of the company apart from selling it pre-production

    it’s my first time to experience this being taken over very close to production. It will be fascinating to see how it unfolds- as the deal progresses to completion is when Ltr goes thru completing the funding, commissioning, and ramp up- who will take all these risks? It’s hard to take it off Ltr as a takeover will take time- how will the risks be calculated or managed in this time of changing ownership- unless the bidder executes another contract pre-closing and to takeover the operation- similar to a realestate buyer who negotiates to take the keys of a property before settlement date.

    Due to fast moving parts, usually a home builder can sell and has to deliver a home turn key.

    if the bidder doesn’t take over the matter, TG cannot escape the risks involve to execute the project and commissioning but someone else will get all the spoils of the hard work done.

    hence a higher price is in order here



    all imo
    Last edited by vmp: 11/09/23
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add LTR (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
98.5¢
Change
-0.015(1.50%)
Mkt cap ! $2.388B
Open High Low Value Volume
99.5¢ $1.01 98.0¢ $18.70M 18.82M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 21958 98.5¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
99.0¢ 504777 10
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 20/06/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
LTR (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.