Here's my exercise, obviously initial production will be higher than the average, but I don't expect ridiculously higher as CXO's, due to 6 times of annual capacity LTR has.
LTR's initial 3mtpa processing capacity, designed to produce around 600,000 tons spodumene concentrates per year, I worked at 500,000 tons, more conservative, also added interest on assuming $600m loan at 10% interest, all in sustainable cost would be around US$700/ton SC6. Currently Chinese spot FOB price is around US$850/t; as LTR production is to commence in mid this year, where Futures price indicates spodumene concentrate price would be around US$1,015/ton, LTR would still be able to generate profit around $229m.
All imo.
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