Interesting way of looking at things.
As you have mentioned many times - 90% of LTR’s product is tied up in offtakes for the first 5 years of production. That’s if LTR does actually reach nameplate as planned.
Long term price weakness expectations as indicated by peers C&M, redundancies and expansion curtailment suggest LTR will HAVE to accept the price floors put in place for its offtakes.
If it’s accepting price floors - that also suggests the price reached on market for the “remaining” 10% would be lower than that.
Given that costs are calculated as an average assumption for the first 10 years - starting very high and then reducing.
Marginal wether it would be worthwhile producing the 10% at all.
Cheers
DYOR IMO
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