I had this sheet on another thread from a month or two ago.... it is a mix of Canaccord numbers and my EBITDA and costs analysis from the yearly... but... I see it all starts with $22 mill revenue. Will we hit that? I have gross eps of 3.7 and costs of 2.7. (I just show free cash flow to see if enough coming in to fund what is needed).
Also, I dont know if there are 400 mill or 600 mill shares to be considered. I actually have seen BOTH numbers published! I used 600 mill.
And to be honest, with all the $$$ invested in the EXTRA manufacturing ramp up (more than we expected), it may be the 'new capital' in col E is too low.
I also did another analysis just based on them selling all they make. Which had me between $15 mill and $20 mil revenue this fin year. We really dont know and can only project 'some guesses'. But at 60% margin they are clearly profitable once they get in that $15 to $20 mill range... 1/2 cent.... 1 cent... 1.5 cent. I really do not know. I am just saying we ARE profitable now.... I think.
Now we may be at 30 cents because better minds than me think we are a year behind where we should be. Maybe that FY21 really will not come to pass until FY22. Man the half yearly will be so interesting to read!
Canaccord has a simple chart in my Macquarie - see below. But you can see I transplanted those numbers in cols B and F above.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- AT1
- AT1 FY21 - General Discussion + FA
AT1 FY21 - General Discussion + FA, page-463
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 1,971 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add AT1 (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
2.8¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $17.89M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
2.7¢ | 2.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $3.866K | 140.1K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 472951 | 2.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.8¢ | 143054 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 472951 | 0.025 |
2 | 617050 | 0.024 |
3 | 893000 | 0.023 |
7 | 604373 | 0.022 |
4 | 432292 | 0.021 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.028 | 143054 | 2 |
0.029 | 452248 | 7 |
0.030 | 419488 | 7 |
0.031 | 196496 | 4 |
0.033 | 367586 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 12/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
AT1 (ASX) Chart |