ATG 0.00% 41.5¢ articore group limited

Attaining a $10B+ valuation (RedBubble v Etsy), page-11

  1. 3,387 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 4561
    I agree.

    Let's look at a simple view of the array of options that are possible for the RBL share price:

    • Rows represent the FY21 marketplace revenue forecast ($M AUD)
    • Columns represent the revenue multiple (PSR)
    • Cells represent the corresponding RBL share price associated with that level of revenue and multiple

    This leads us to a range of possible share price valuations, noting that there are 271.48M shares on issue. I.e. FY21 revenue estimate ($M) x Revenue Multiple / SOI (M) = Share Price ($)

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2637/2637652-0ad487470e967e9c8342eff4a7cefddb.jpg

    A fair question to ask might be, what is the fairest revenue multiple for RBL?

    • Etsy trades on a TTM revenue multiple of ~13x
    • Kogan trades on a FY20 revenue multiple of ~4.2x
    • CAR trades on a FY20 revenue multiple of ~12x
    • SEEK trades on a FY20 revenue multiple of ~5.3x

    I have highlighted in green the options that I think are most likely outcomes for RBL over the next 6-12 months.

    I am buying at these levels - RBL is now the largest holding in my portfolio.

    T.E.P.
 
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Last
41.5¢
Change
0.000(0.00%)
Mkt cap ! $117.3M
Open High Low Value Volume
40.0¢ 41.5¢ 39.5¢ $80.61K 199.2K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 3185 40.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
41.5¢ 60505 2
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