Autosports Group IPO by UBS, page-15

  1. 741 Posts.
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    Some thoughts on Autosports

    BENCHMARKS
    Used AP Eagers, AHG and Penske, Lithia and Auto Nation in US.
    PROFITABILITY
    EBIT TO SALES for Autosports 3% versus others in range 3 to 5%.Autosports at low end of range.
    ASSET MANAGEMENT
    ROA for Autosports at 15% versus others in range 9 to 11%. Autosports a good performer.
    Sales to inventory for Autosports at 6.8 times versus others in range 5.3 to 6.8 times. Autosports a good performer.
    OTHER ISSUES
    Autosports significantly smaller than all other players.
    Autosports operating a very asset light business with Sales to Operating Assets at 4.7 times versus others in range 2.4 to 3.2 times. I believe this is important. In short, a clean business with little historical baggage.
    PRICING
    Again, reasonable to good businesses being sold at outrageous prices. What's new.
    At proposed market cap for Autosports you are paying 58% goodwill versus rest in range 36 to 50% . Autosports vendors are wanting a lot of blue sky in their price.
    SUMMARY
    Using average USA pricing then Autosports worth $2.20.
    Using average Australian pricing then Autosports worth $2.50
    Current range for IPO is $2.10 to $2.40.
    CONCLUSION
    It's a small IPO so cannot imagine that overseas instos will buy.
    At low end of range there is money to be made and at high end will be risky.
    Probably worth a small punt.

    What is everyone thinking ?
    Thanks
 
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