AUZ 0.00% 0.9¢ australian mines limited

AUZ Long Term valuation

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    Wondering if anyone has any thoughts on AUZ long term valuation.

    Medium term (by DFS in April 18) I think AUZ should exceed CLQ in terms on MC. AUZ has more resources, on track to start processing ahead of CLQ and an honest & competent management so logically AUZ will be the darling stock for Cobalt, just like GXY is for lithium. Current CLQ MC is around $800m so that should equate to a SP of $0.35 for AUZ.

    Longer term would be a harder guess. Lynas Corp at its peak has a MC of $3.5b or so in 2010 during the rare earth boom. We are seeing many similarities in terms of demand and supply side conditions: strong future demand driven by Green tech, supply predominantly from 1 country, political instability affecting supply, etc. AT $3.5B MC, AUZ SP will be around $1.5. If AUZ ever gets there, without a doubt many of us will move in to Point Piper and be Mr. Turnbull's neighbour.

    Any thoughts?
 
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