The extra %15 was scheduled to be sorted by end of this month (March 2022). Its looking like this wont happen as we have yet to receive an announcement re $240M from CATH as you mentioned.
If we can get the $240M by end of March i think your time line fits.
By EOM March - $240M from CATH
By EOM April - Extra %15
By EOM May - ML issued.
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