back of the envelope...., page-16

Gotta

They do have formulas to work this out but have never tried to understand it.

Pre Snatcher 1 the % chance would have been well below 50%, probably in the 30-35% range. Most companies won;t drill below those probabilities in my experience.

Now that S1 flows it will help confirm their interpretation of the 3d and so the success % will have increased alot and I would have thought it to certainly be better than 50/50.