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$4.00 isn't likely if things stay as they are. A downgrade in profits, a significant regulatory decision going against them, or a market meltdown could all see $4.00 and below. Absence of all of the above likely will see this drifting towards $4.70-5.00 or maybe even higher, though there's a good bit of nervousness that will see it take a good while. Was lucky enough to have a buy order get taken out at $4.00 in the recent dip to average down and at least be slightly in profit at this price. Hoping for stability and long-term 7-11% dividend (including franking credits!)