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Don't celebrate yet Trumpster haters. Looks like the most important group of people still want him around
The winning will continue!

Trump looking strong in key states


Donald Trump in Lexington, Kentucky, on election day to support of Republican Governor Matt Bevin. Picture: AFP

• By DAVID CHARTER
• THE TIMES
• 55 MINUTES AGO NOVEMBER 6, 2019
• 16 COMMENTS

Donald Trump is almost neck and neck with Joe Biden and ahead of other leading Democratic rivals in states likely to decide the next election.
Despite facing an impeachment inquiry and having low national approval ratings, he is within the polling margin of error in five of six states that had the tightest Republican victories in 2016. These helped him to win despite losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton.
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Mr Trump’s national approval percentage is stuck in the low 40s. When set against his possible opponents in the key states that decide presidential elections, he is much more competitive than national polling implies.
In head-to-head polling, Mr Biden leads Mr Trump by two percentage points in Florida, three points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and five in Arizona. They are tied in Michigan and Mr Trump leads by two points in North Carolina.
This would hand Mr Biden the presidency but the margins are narrow and there is a year to go until polling day. In match-ups with the other two Democratic frontrunners, the outcome is even closer, pointing to a narrow victory for Bernie Sanders and a race between Mr Trump and Elizabeth Warren that is too close to call.
The presidency is decided by an electoral college system that gives extra voting weight to smaller states. A Democrat needs to win at least three of the six battleground states to secure victory if all other states go the way they did in 2016, when Mr Trump won by 304 to 227 electoral college votes.
The largest swing state is Florida, to which Mr Trump is relocating his official domicile from New York, a reliably Democratic state. In Florida, Mr Trump is given a lead of one point over Senator Sanders and four points over Senator Warren.
The polling of registered voters, by Siena College for The New York Times, puts Senator Sanders ahead of Mr Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Senator Warren is ahead only in Arizona and level in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
White working-class voters with no college degree, a key group for Mr Trump in 2016, remained strongly behind him, polling found. They preferred him to Mr Biden and Senator Sanders by 24 points and to Senator Warren by 26 points. The Democratic candidates were comfortably ahead among white graduates and black and Hispanic voters.
The pollsters also interviewed 205 voters in the six battleground states who supported Mr Biden but not Senator Warren and found she could struggle to win many of them over.
Only 26 per cent said they had a favourable view of Senator Warren and 47 per cent had an unfavourable view. Seventy-four per cent said they would prefer a more moderate Democratic candidate to a more liberal one.
Elysha Savarese, 26, a victims advocate in Florida, voted for Mr Trump in 2016 and said she would not do so again. Nor would she vote for Senator Warren.
“There’s just something about her that I don’t like,” she told The New York Times.
“I just don’t feel like she’s a genuine candidate. I find her body language very off-putting … She’s basically a Hillary Clinton clone.”
The margin of error was plus or minus 4.4 percentage points in Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and plus or minus 5.1 points in Michigan.