With the trouble in Chile I think we will see a gradual GXY SP recovery in the next two or three weeks, then a spike when the SDV is announced.
Conservatively, I'm thinking maybe the SP will get to about $2.55 early November, then accelerate somewhat on the back of the SDV buzz.
Then when the news of the deal drops, hopefully with a trading halt, my rough estimation would be - when the TH is lifted - a surge from around $2.72 to $3.30.
Too conservative?
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GXY Price at posting:
$2.37 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held