Core Lithium shorts
Shorts have risen steadily this month indicating up to 27 Jan that short have not been covered. More likely they have continued to borro up w and sell short to control the price rising.
Looking at the rises in SP in the last month from:
0.96 on 28/12 up to 1.20 on 6/1 (25%); and
1.02 on 17/1 and 1.23 on the 30/1 (20.5%)
We can conclude this rose due to market demand and not shares covering (excluding the 27-30 jan as we don’t know the short numbers yet).
So share price is rising AND we still have 10% short positions which will need to cover at some stage. If they cover and general market demand for shares is high we can assume there will be a strong squeeze
Catalyst for shares covering:
- Fear. Market demand trending SP higher they may start mitigating the loss
- News. DMS plant developed and commissioned, second Ore shipment, change in media narrative about lithium. Electric car sales or market growth in general.
Conclusion
I can’t see the natural exit for the shorters such as Bad company news or a credit raise where the get a Get Out of Jail Free card. I think a squeeze is most likely at some point in the first half of this calendar year
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