CXO 6.59% 9.7¢ core lithium ltd

Core Lithium shortsShorts have risen steadily this month...

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    Core Lithium shorts


    Shorts have risen steadily this month indicating up to 27 Jan that short have not been covered. More likely they have continued to borro up w and sell short to control the price rising.




    Looking at the rises in SP in the last month from:

    0.96 on 28/12 up to 1.20 on 6/1 (25%); and

    1.02 on 17/1 and 1.23 on the 30/1 (20.5%)


    We can conclude this rose due to market demand and not shares covering (excluding the 27-30 jan as we don’t know the short numbers yet).


    So share price is rising AND we still have 10% short positions which will need to cover at some stage. If they cover and general market demand for shares is high we can assume there will be a strong squeeze


    Catalyst for shares covering:

    • Fear. Market demand trending SP higher they may start mitigating the loss
    • News. DMS plant developed and commissioned, second Ore shipment, change in media narrative about lithium. Electric car sales or market growth in general.


    Conclusion

    I can’t see the natural exit for the shorters such as Bad company news or a credit raise where the get a Get Out of Jail Free card. I think a squeeze is most likely at some point in the first half of this calendar year

    Last edited by SnowStorm: 03/02/23
 
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