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The daily covid infection rate numbers are directly correlated...

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    The daily covid infection rate numbers are directly correlated to the number of tests that are being undertaken. The weekly report from the CDC (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html) shows that the rate of testing has dramatically decreased over the past few weeks which would have a direct impact on the number of active and positive cases being reported.

    It is also worth keeping in mind that the below graph is from the 23 May (almost two weeks ago) but published on the 29th May. This means that these figures are pre-riot and civil unrest. Personally I think it would be highly unlikely that the rate of testing would remain stable during the unrest, a more likely scenario is the current trend of decreasing test numbers will be exacerbated by the current situation and the rate of testing will continue to decrease at an increasing rate with only people with more severe symptoms presenting for testing and diagnosis. This would mean that there is the potential for the daily covid infection numbers to be significantly suppressed in reporting over the coming weeks. This would create a false sense of security that the virus has disappeared/been controlled prior to a sudden increase in case numbers in the future which could be the tipping point (or one of many).

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2202/2202423-388a55b3ce0b93071238c76f3655fd97.jpg
    Of course i could be totally wrong also.
    Last edited by Fisher85: Typo 04/06/20
 
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