SP500 0.58% 2,958.8 standard & poor's 500

BBUS, page-13367

  1. 1,455 Posts.
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    I've done my calculation and based on the BBUS gearing being 2.5% increase on the S&P falling 1%.
    A fall of 50% on the S&-500 would equate to a 250% return on your BBUS hedge.
    See calculations below which show 2.5% compounding from a starting point of $10k
    Each line represents a 1% fall in the S&P-500.

    With these numbers you can calculate what your hedge weight should be to cover your portfolio (in theory).
    E.G. if you have a $300,000 portfolio and you want to cover it for a 50% fall in value You'd have to buy $42k in BBUS. this would cover you for a loss of $147,000 on your portfolio.
    If the market goes the other way and rises and your $42k investment went to zero you would need the value of your portfolio to rise by 14% to cover your hedge E.G $300,000 + 14 % = $342,000. (however it is unlikely your BBUS would lose all value on a 14% ASX rise).
    This is all dependent on holding the right stocks, but you get the idea.

    The ultimate investment would be to have stocks that fair better in a fall, but the risk with that is they may not rise 14% if the market goes up.
    I'd be interested if Troydt comes up with the same numbers?
    It could also be possible that the fund could go up much higher that 2.5% to 1% gearing, but it's a good way to calculate cover.

    $10000 + 2.5% = $10250 S&P500 falls 1%

    $10506

    $10769

    $11038

    $11315

    11597

    11886

    12184

    12488

    12800 S&P500 falls 10%

    13120

    13448

    13785

    14129

    14482

    14845

    15216

    15596

    15986

    16386 S&P500 falls 20%

    16795

    17214

    17645

    18086

    18538

    19002

    19477

    19963

    20463

    20974 S&P500 falls 30%

    21499

    22036

    22587

    23152

    23730

    24323

    24931

    25554

    26193

    26847 S&P500 falls 40%

    27519

    28206

    28912

    29634

    30375

    31135

    31913

    32711

    33529

    $34367 S&P500 falls 50% = 250% return on $10000

 
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