I've done my calculation and based on the BBUS gearing being 2.5% increase on the S&P falling 1%.
A fall of 50% on the S&-500 would equate to a 250% return on your BBUS hedge.
See calculations below which show 2.5% compounding from a starting point of $10k
Each line represents a 1% fall in the S&P-500.
With these numbers you can calculate what your hedge weight should be to cover your portfolio (in theory).
E.G. if you have a $300,000 portfolio and you want to cover it for a 50% fall in value You'd have to buy $42k in BBUS. this would cover you for a loss of $147,000 on your portfolio.
If the market goes the other way and rises and your $42k investment went to zero you would need the value of your portfolio to rise by 14% to cover your hedge E.G $300,000 + 14 % = $342,000. (however it is unlikely your BBUS would lose all value on a 14% ASX rise).
This is all dependent on holding the right stocks, but you get the idea.
The ultimate investment would be to have stocks that fair better in a fall, but the risk with that is they may not rise 14% if the market goes up.
I'd be interested if Troydt comes up with the same numbers?
It could also be possible that the fund could go up much higher that 2.5% to 1% gearing, but it's a good way to calculate cover.$10000 + 2.5% = $10250 S&P500 falls 1%
$10506
$10769
$11038
$11315
11597
11886
12184
12488
12800 S&P500 falls 10%
13120
13448
13785
14129
14482
14845
15216
15596
15986
16386 S&P500 falls 20%
16795
17214
17645
18086
18538
19002
19477
19963
20463
20974 S&P500 falls 30%
21499
22036
22587
23152
23730
24323
24931
25554
26193
26847 S&P500 falls 40%
27519
28206
28912
29634
30375
31135
31913
32711
33529
$34367 S&P500 falls 50% = 250% return on $10000
- Forums
- International Markets
- BBUS
I've done my calculation and based on the BBUS gearing being...
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 1,079 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add SP500 (INDEXSP) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
2,958.8 |
Change
17.070(0.58%) |
Mkt cap ! n/a |
Open | High | Low |
2,958.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Featured News
SP500 (INDEXSP) Chart |
Day chart unavailable
The Watchlist
SS1
SUN SILVER LIMITED
Gerard O’Donovan, Executive Director
Gerard O’Donovan
Executive Director
SPONSORED BY The Market Online