bear to from here, page-4

when counting cycles historically you can see these numbers appear between highs or between lows, or high to low or low to high. So there is no way to say with certainty, if you are getting too far ahead what you are looking at.

there is evidence for both cases I put forward...but I am thinking now maybe a rally jan 21 to mar 17. May is traditionally a down month so to have a double botom in may may and mid June makes sense to me.