quite seriously, wenchen you are going to be destroyed eventually, BAU you will do well but from your questions it appears you've done little or no researc of your own, and are gambling.
in the even you sell out of BAU, your next trade i fear to think what will happen ith such a strategy, you really need to look at what you're doing and look into it yourslf.
its also quite frustratitng to read, and neigh on imposible to forcase what the SP will be in a years time, this is just fairy talk.
please, for your own sake and credability do some research of your own, and look to use hotcopper as a soundingboard for your ideas.
best of luck
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quite seriously, wenchen you are going to be destroyed...
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