LPE 4.35% 11.0¢ locality planning energy holdings limited

Bell Potter Accumulation, page-2

  1. 4,018 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 63
    Thanks Stotes - great research.

    I've just done a rough back-of-the-envelope calculation on what I think we will see in the quarterly.

    38 communities under management (billing) - recent market update
    * 0.5 GW per community average consumption - investor presentation

    = 19GW under management

    * $220k revenue per GW per annum - investor presentation
    = $4.18M annual revenue
    / 4 - for one quarter

    = $1.045 M revenue for Q1 2016.

    It could be slightly higher given that Queensland has a summer peak (ie. more consumption in summer months with air conditioning etc).

    Also, the company's stated target retail margin is around 18%.

    So would expect around $180k of pure margin - but whether this is taken as profit would depend on whether there are other, non retailing related costs.

    Note also that the $4M annual revenue is ours for the next 5 years + given contract length and there is still substantial customer load under contract but not yet under management that will continue to come online. This will be a huge cash generator.
    Last edited by JWB1985: 28/04/16
 
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