VCN 0.00% 11.0¢ vulcan resources limited

...and, sad to say, they'll be spending most of it on things...

  1. 4,447 Posts.
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    ...and, sad to say, they'll be spending most of it on things they did not raise it to do. The biggest con in ages; "give us $50M and we'll build a mine", turned into "Well at least we still have a bit of that left, look at us with our cash backing!"

    Kylylahti's "conservative" metal price assumptions were, and I quote;
    Cu = $2.50/lb (now a shade under $2)
    Co = $16/lb (now swiftly dropping past this, but reliable data is hard to find)
    Ni = $8/lb (now $5)
    Zn = $1.50/lb or whatever, who cares, its meaningless.

    Face the facts; they are STUFFED if getting mining is their game. No one will commit to the debt for a mine which has a "5% Cu equivalency" calculated on bull schnitzel metal prices, and an NPV which assumes longer term prices than is possible. If you were a bank you'd want to lock in hedges, and if they lock them in at these prices, it'll kill the mine.

    Good night, Kylylahti.

    Kuhmo might be OK, but its low-tenor unattractive concentrates will be murderous to smelt and the resources are too spread out for efficient mining - in Finland, that is, where is snows. So that's a dead donkey, unless we get lucky. We can also write off the Pt-Pd credits, the way platinum has traded recently.

    I reckon 8c is too much. Cowden will still get his exhorbitant $400K per annum and all the other mugs will suck this dry in 2 or 3 years, and you'll be left holding onto sub-par assets covered in reindeer, snow, and vodka.
 
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