Whilst many say the betting on the Presidential race isn't important
there are always things that may be suggestive, but certainly should be noted with interest
the betting surge on Kamala has temporarily topped - it may kick up again at any time - she's not far away from announcing a running mate - within a week almost for certain. Probably any day.
But the graph shows a clear change (and, isn't it interesting that the current Kamala top in implied probability is a round number)
What is also clear as crystal is that Donald is in descent - BUT DONALD'S declining trendline now - has not stalled - he is still way over the top and heading south
that is worth observing. He also doesn't have any more rabbits to pull out of hats - if Donald has risks - they are to the downside.
Harris's only real foreseeable risk is if she picks an unpopular dud candidate - but, if she goes with Shapiro or similar - there are probably not going to be major kickbacks there - the market may well resume it's upward trend for her - here it is. Only from minutes back live.
