Using the averages - yep, about 3 weeks
using the outliers - 6 weeks (at first I calculated 45 days)
6 weeks is what the government has been advised in France for a lockdown
atm- they are committed to 4 weeks
2 which became 4 - which we all expect will become 6
after that ??????????????
Beware the flattened curve, page-32
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