BFG bell financial group limited

Have been overweight BFG for around 4yrs since 60c and have...

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    Have been overweight BFG for around 4yrs since 60c and have always been amazed how ignored it is by the market and trades on a far discounted P/E to sector peers despite a stellar >5 year growth record compared to often stagnant peers.

    the ROIC has been great and the divi’s >10% with franking..

    I have order to buy a few more at 1.81 given the lack of bounce with the result.... as they say “water your winners”.

    the main triggers coming up to a re rate over time will be:
    - strong guidance at their presentation in feb and an increased divi
    - continued cost savings and revenue growth from their recent strategies to keep flowing through (see recent presentations for details of each of these)
    - small cap funds buying up based on fundamentals for value and growth and yield
    - broader coverage of bfg by brokers over time as market cap expands and track record too
    - individual investors hungry for the huge yield
    - increased liquidity as market cap expands
    - inclusion in asx300 then possibly even 200 in next couple of years which would allow more fund managers to then invest
    - bfg will be looking for how to manage their cash given they have no debt, so the two options will be (1) acquisitions and (2) a share buyback on market; either would drive the sp higher
    - conversely , bfg could actually be a takeover target themselves for a bigger fund manager or someone like Macquarie due to their rich IP in software / broking/ research platforms which they have developed but bigger inv banks would love to own; they also have >60b FUM which could be absorbed and thus eps accretive

    I expect 2.00 over the next few months barring a major broader market pullback of course( 2.00 is Morningstar’s present fair value estimate even prior to today’s result, so will go up to probably 2.20 now)

    but I won’t be selling a single share. I still plan to hold for a further 5 years and expect the 200% CG + almost another 100% divi return thus far to keep growing
 
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(20min delay)
Last
$1.14
Change
0.000(0.00%)
Mkt cap ! $368.8M
Open High Low Value Volume
$1.17 $1.17 $1.14 $67.11K 57.90K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
3 12895 $1.14
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$1.15 14115 3
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Last trade - 15.52pm 02/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
BFG (ASX) Chart
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