Big lead to clinton in a must win state for trump

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    Pennsylvania is a key State that Trump would need to win for a realistic tilt at the Presidency. However does not look good for Trump as Hillary has an 8 point lead.
    Never-the less the overall lead by Clinton across the battleground states generally is a narrow 2points amongst likely voters. So Trump is at this stage within striking distance.

    “As the election reaches its final stages Democrat Hillary Clinton holds an eight-point lead in Pennsylvania, a state that could prove essential for Republican Donald Trump’s efforts to reach 270 electoral votes.

    In North Carolina, however, the two presidential rivals are separated by only four points, and a survey of 13 battleground states as a group also finds a tighter race.

    In Pennsylvania, Hillary Clinton garners 45% while Trump has 37% support. Third-party candidates remain mired in the single digits – Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6% and the Green Party's Jill Stein at 2% – with another 6% undecided. While Trump has a narrow seven-point lead among Pennsylvania whites, Clinton is ahead among African Americans by 86-3. Clinton also wins a larger share of Democrats (83%) than Trump manages with Republicans (75%).

    Clinton’s larger leads in battleground states like Virginia and Colorado have suggested Pennsylvania, along with Ohio and Florida, might provide Trump with a viable route to 270 electoral votes. However, Clinton's 8-point lead in the Keystone State indicates it might not be a realistic target for the Trump campaign unless the national race tightens. This is the first time the YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker has polled likely voters in Pennsylvania on the general election.

    North Carolina also shows a closer race, with Hillary Clinton at 46% and Donald Trump at 42%. Johnson garners only 4% support in North Carolina, Stein 2%. YouGov last polled likely voters in North Carolina in June, when Clinton led by two points, 44% to 42%.

    While losing North Carolina could prove fatal for Donald Trump’s chances, it is likely to be more of a bonus for Clinton. Barack Obama won in the Tar Heel State in 2008 but lost in 2012, and in both elections he won over 300 electoral votes.

    Yet a survey across 13 battleground states suggests the race may still be up for grabs. Among likely voters Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by only two points, 42% to 40%. 7% go for Gary Johnson and again 2% for Jill Stein. The states included in the poll are Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Following the Democratic National Convention, Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump by 43% to 41% among a smaller list of 11 states (not including Arizona and Georgia).”

    https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/04/cbs-battleground-states-pennsylvania-north-carolin/
 
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