PBR had already mentioned in their Q1-2020 Impairment note that their fwd Brent OP assumption was revised down from 65/bbl to 50/bbl (from 2024 onwards).
For the next 5 yrs they've assumed USD 20-25-30-35-40/bbl. There's bound to be daylight in their inhouse Valuation of Assets in a 'Post Covid/ Low Brent' world, compared with Pre-March 2020 price.
Refer page-12 on the link below.
https://s3.amazonaws.com/mz-filemanager/25fdf098-34f5-4608-b7fa-17d60b2de47d/ed6ef16c-123b-4d53-a4a3-a7ad7efefbf3_performance_1q20.pdf
Frade's 2P 92.3 mmbbls had a pre-tax NPV10 of USD1463m as per DeGolyer who've used Oil price of 58.5/bbl for most of its field life.
So I think Bauna's Sale price & Balance reserves till Dec 2019 (i.e, 2P 46.8 & 2C 19.8 mmbbls) must reflect the future Brent price landscape in its valuation instead of US65/bbl.
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Big news overnight, Bauna deal terms very likely to be revised, page-12
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$1.38 |
Change
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Mkt cap ! $1.075B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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4 | 158278 | 1.370 |
2 | 15786 | 1.365 |
2 | 53162 | 1.360 |
1 | 37869 | 1.355 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.385 | 1601 | 2 |
1.390 | 49310 | 7 |
1.395 | 159896 | 5 |
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