You have jumped the gun there roll rolladex becuse it will be a few days before we know who has won the popular vote and/or the most seats. At present the popular 2PP vote is so close to 50/50 that either side could finish up slightly ahead. Also the major parties seats could finish up even with 73 each.
Other factors to consider are that the lone Green will support Labor, Wilson Tuckey lost his Liberal seat to a WA National who is not part of the LNP coalition and will sit on the cross benches but that seat is incorrectly IMO being included in the Coalition count.
The three long term Independants are all former National Party members who deserted the LNP because of fundamental differences over policy and there is no love lost between them and their former parties. These three could decide to support anyone to form a government.
And the Coalition and Nick Xenophon have lost the influence they had in the Senate where the Greens now hold the Balance of Power in their own right. Family First Steve Fielding has been defeated. This change in Senate make-up does not take place until July 2011, but will provide the Greens with a lot of power from then on.
So IMO the political landscape has changed dramatically with the big winners being Greens and Independants.
