Hi Justis. The reality that cannot be denied is that Malcolm...

Hi Justis. The reality that cannot be denied is that Malcolm Turnbull and the LNP are trending down whereas Shorten and Labor are trending up with Labor in the lead.

Its all over the media that the govt has had a very bad recent showing and that Malcolm's gloss has waned. The short term trend in very important because the country is basically in election campaign mode with the election likely in three months time. Averaging out doesn’t cut it when an election is imminent. The current trend is to Labor but its still close and the reality is that either party can win the election dependent on who provides the most effective campaign and associated policies.

Also, what is becoming clear is that whomever wins the election they will not have a majority in the Senate. So the rush to a double dissolution 'grab for power' in the Senate will have failed and thats probably a good thing as neither major party can be trusted with that power..

There is no point in reflecting that Turnbull’s waning support is still better than Abbott’s as the contest is between LNP and Labor not between Turnbull and Abbott.

cheers