FWIW I don't think you have an unreasonable position - there really is no widespread adoption and at the moment it mostly is a speculation play. I think that changes and so I hold, but it's also very understandable that others don't.
The bull/bear price predictions I find a bit silly. It really all boils down to whether you believe it will succeed long term or not. Bitcoin that is, 99.9% of the other coins/tokens are utter shite.
