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Repo black swan could give 2020 a shakey start. With a torrent...

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    Repo black swan could give 2020 a shakey start. With a torrent of settlements due on Dec 31st banks will struggle with liquidity given their cash reserves have been badly depleted. The NY Fed is upping the repo activity by injecting up to US$500 billion into the market over the new year to try to head off an oncoming disaster. Their attempts to keep a lid overnight interest rates might come to an abrupt end. With the Fed balance sheet expanding at an alarming rate the predicted result will be QE 4. Not sure how this will affect gold. Rising interest rates is probably not a good outcome.Then again "printing" money at this rate has to eventually result in uncontrolled inflation, which is, unofficially, already running at around 10%. Gold will be the asset of choice in this environment.
    By 1st Jan 2020 we could be knee deep in black swan crap. Better watch this space.

    OPERATING POLICY
    Statement Regarding Repurchase Operations
    December 12, 2019

    The Open Market Trading Desk (the Desk) at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has released the schedule of repurchase agreement (repo) operations for the monthly period from December 13, 2019 through January 14, 2020. In accordance with the most recent FOMC directive, the Desk will conduct repo operations to ensure that the supply of reserves remains ample and to mitigate the risk of money market pressures around year end that could adversely affect policy implementation.

    The Desk will continue to offer two-week term repo operations twice per week, four of which span year end. In addition, the Desk will also offer another longer-maturity term repo operation that spans year end. The amount offered in this operation will be at least $50 billion.

    Overnight repo operations will continue to be held each day. On December 31, 2019 and January 2, 2020, the overnight repo offering will increase to at least $150 billion. In addition, on December 30, 2019, the Desk will offer a $75 billion repo that settles on December 31, 2019 and matures on January 2, 2020.

    The Desk intends to adjust the timing and amounts of repo operations as needed to mitigate the risk of money market pressures that could adversely affect policy implementation, consistent with the directive from the FOMC.

    Detailed information on the schedule and parameters of term and overnight repurchase agreement operations are provided on the Repurchase Agreement Operational Details site.

 
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