You are 100% right, things do change - and quite a lot. This is a simple business in one sense, but incredibly complex in another. Reading the tea leaves is not either easy or straightforward, and the stage you are playing on is global.
The skyrocketing prices of a few years ago were unheard of, and no-one would have predicted a time (albeit short) where thermal coal was priced higher than met coal...but it happened.
Just tone it down a bit and give yourself time to learn. Trust me the analysts are wrong as often as the people in this forum...if they were not, they would be retired on an island somewhere that they purchased themselves.
The pivotal changes around the blind faith in renewables is only one of the factors involved. War, supply issues, China (mostly news rather than direct impact), Iron Ore, Trump(?) all drive prices...and many other factors.
No-one thinks you make stuff up, and you are clearly well-read. Just don't dismiss those with contrary views. Listen and learn.
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